Mini Master ADEQUATE STRUCTURES - Forward looking evaluation

Session 3: IN-DEPTH ASSESSMENT

At this stage we will see how and which scenarios to physically construct (they cannot be infinite or the classic three scenarios "worst", "normal" and "best", no longer work like that!).

• The hypotheses on which I make projections, for example worsening of operating margins, are consistent with the risk factors identified in the previous phase?
• The system used (Excel, Leanus or others) is able to calculate cash flows perspectives linked to the hypotheses used to make the projections.

We will simulate two scenarios linked to the main risk factors identified and see how Cash Flows, DSCRs and other risk KPIs vary. What are the risk factors with the greatest impact? Can I quantify the variability (range) of the KPIs connected to them?

We will also see how to formulate a judgment (so what?) following the three illustrated phases. Is the risk too high? How do I rate it? In conclusion we will also see how to monitor/update data on a periodic basis.

Speaker:
Stephen CARRARA - Leanus Administrator

Guest:
Michele WIFE - Advisor at inFinance.it

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